Nonprofit Hospital CEO Compensation: Does Quality Matter?

 


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Nonprofit Hospital CEO Compensation: Does Quality Matter?

In the following article, I investigated a research study by Jenkins, Short, and Ho (2024) that poses a targeted question with real policy relevance: in nonprofit hospitals, does executive compensation reward clinical performance or something else? The authors answer this question with a design that is intentionally straightforward, transparent, and easy for boards to grasp. They combine CEO compensation data from IRS Form 990 filings with standard hospital characteristics and quality indicators for two points in time, 2012 and 2019. They model the logarithm of chief executive pay as a function of profits, bed size, system versus independent status, teaching status, charity care, and two commonly used outcome measures: a condition-specific 30-day pneumonia mortality rate and a hospital-wide 30-day readmission rate. To understand why pay increased over this period and what influenced changes in responsiveness to performance, they include an Oaxaca decomposition. This approach breaks down the observed growth in compensation into parts that reflect shifts in hospital traits over time and changes in the "rewards" associated with those traits, along with a residual that captures baseline pay movement. The sample includes 1,047 organizations in 2012 and 812 in 2019, providing broad coverage across the nonprofit sector while remaining grounded in verifiable filings. The main finding is clear: in 2012, higher quality was somewhat more associated with higher pay, though modestly; by 2019, this link had weakened, while pay became more closely tied to organization size and profits. The decomposition indicates two main factors behind the increase: boards increased the premium for operating very large systems, and baseline compensation grew independently of measured clinical performance. In summary, size and profit margins increasingly overshadowed quality in determining executive pay (Jenkins et al., 2024).

This pattern fits the broader empirical record. A decade ago, Joynt and colleagues examined compensation in nonprofit hospitals and found that pay lined up with technology intensity and patient-experience scores rather than mortality or charity care (Joynt et al., 2014). Boards regularly state that quality matters, yet the pay formula often prioritizes other factors. More recently, the same research group as Jenkins et al. (2024) documented that the biggest jumps in CEO pay cluster in larger systems and track profitability, reinforcing the size–profit premium. Taken together, these strands describe a structural tilt in nonprofit hospital compensation: leaders are paid for scale and financial results, while objective outcome measures carry less weight than the public narrative might suggest.

Jenkins et al. (2024) pose the concept: "Why should senior teams, trustees, and community stakeholders care?" Because compensation design acts as a shortcut for strategy. In a tax-exempt enterprise, the bonus plan indicates what the organization truly values. When the scorecard rewards growth in beds, covered lives, and operating margin more than safer care or equitable access, executives will focus their attention and political capital where the payoffs lie. The authors also show that, over the period studied, CEO compensation increased by roughly one-third. Meanwhile, average RN pay barely changed, creating a gap with real cultural consequences in an era of burnout and staffing shortages (Jenkins et al., 2024). This divergence can erode trust, increase turnover, and lead to greater dependence on premium labor. On the market side, literature on consolidation underscores concerns that a pay plan emphasizing scale can guide systems toward deals that raise prices without improving outcomes. Dafny, Ho, and Lee (2019) show that within-state, cross-market mergers boost prices by 7 to 9 percent, a pattern consistent with bargaining leverage rather than efficiency. Beaulieu and colleagues (2020) report that acquired hospitals experienced lower patient-experience scores and no clear gains in readmissions or mortality after acquisition. More recently, economists have linked a significant portion of hospital price growth to lax merger enforcement, with predictably anti-competitive deals causing around five percent price increases (Brot et al., 2024). This context makes the Jenkins finding more than just curiosity. If compensation increasingly rewards scale and margin, leadership teams face a strong push to pursue footprint expansion as the default strategy, even when clinical value does not follow.

The internal strength of the paper rests on its clarity of method and restraint in claims. Regressing log pay on observable traits and then using an Oaxaca decomposition is standard when the goal is to separate "what the market pays for" from "how common those features are." The specification will feel familiar to any finance or HR committee that has seen a compensation consultant bring "market data" and a multivariate pay model to a board meeting. That familiarity is an asset because it reduces the distance between research and governance practice. At the same time, the authors acknowledge limits that matter for interpretation. The quality lens is narrow: one condition-specific mortality rate and a global readmission rate cannot capture safety culture, harm events, timely access, or equity. Measurement error in such proxies can attenuate estimated associations, pushing estimates toward zero. Important drivers sit off-model, including fundraising prowess, payer-mix sophistication, or board composition. IRS 990 data can understate deferred compensation or one-time payouts, and systems differ in how they categorize components of pay. Finally, the comparison uses two time points. That design clarifies before-and-after differences but cannot fully absorb policy shocks or secular trends between 2012 and 2019. Even with these constraints, the paper's pattern lines up with independent evidence, which boosts confidence in the central take-home message: in nonprofit hospitals, compensation tracks size and financial performance more reliably than core clinical outcomes (Jenkins et al., 2024; Joynt et al., 2014; Jenkins et al., 2024).

The current market shows similar signs. Hospital and physician-practice consolidation continues, including many deals that are below Hart-Scott-Rodino reporting thresholds. These smaller deals can still change local bargaining power and contribute to the "scale premium" that boards seem willing to pay. Enforcement has become more active in certain regions, but the proportion of challenged deals remains small compared to total deal flow. When agencies allowed suspect mergers to go forward, prices increased in ways that antitrust models would predict (Brot et al., 2024). Buyers and regulators have become more skeptical that mergers improve quality, partly due to high-profile studies like those cited above. Within organizations, noticeable gaps between executive pay increases and frontline wages heighten reputational risks and labor tensions. Leaders notice this through higher vacancy rates, increased agency spending, and a culture that is tired and weakens clinical reliability.

What should boards and senior teams do with this evidence? Start by restoring a clean line of sight between pay and the clinical results that matter. That requires more than dropping a token HCAHPS item into the annual bonus. Tie a meaningful share of variable compensation to a small, stable set of risk-adjusted outcome metrics that clinicians recognize and patients experience. Examples include serious safety events, harm-free care composites, mortality and readmission bundles that reflect the organization's case mix, and access measures that track equity, timeliness, and continuity. Use multi-year rolling averages to dampen noise and disincentivize gaming. Weigh these elements heavily enough to shape behavior, and publish the weights. Next, remove direct rewards for scale. If the formula implicitly pays more for more beds or covered lives, the strategy will tilt toward acquisition. Replace size as a pay driver with measures of value created for the community per tax-exempt dollar. This reframes the job from "get bigger" to "create better outcomes at a given scale," which aligns with the sector's public purpose and the literature on consolidation's mixed clinical returns (Jenkins et al., 2024; Dafny et al., 2019; Beaulieu et al., 2020).

Boards should align margin and quality within the same plan year. Executives should not be able to meet financial targets solely through price leverage while missing clinical goals, or vice versa. Setting paired targets makes it clear that sustainable value depends on both stewardship and outcomes. Transparency is key. Require a public, plain-language summary of the metrics used to determine pay, their weights, and the organization's three-year performance against these targets. In other nonprofit areas, increased disclosure has been linked to stronger pay-for-performance relationships, partly because it sharpens oversight and invites external scrutiny. Finally, tailor committee expertise to the scorecard. Compensation oversight should not be the responsibility of only finance and law. Include members with strong patient-safety and quality backgrounds, and give them authority equal to the financial experts. When governance bodies have the skills to scrutinize quality claims, management practices improve, and clinical performance tends to rise, creating a stronger connection between oversight and outcomes.

It also helps to view hospital patterns within a broader nonprofit context. In sectors driven by mission without owners, executive pay tends to increase with organizational size and financial strength more than with program results. Stronger governance and improved measurement can help strengthen that link. Public higher education provides a similar example: econometric studies have shown that the pay of presidents and provosts correlates more consistently with institutional characteristics and size than with improvements in student outcomes. Community health centers, which are closer to hospitals on the care delivery spectrum, display a similar pattern, with weak connections between CEO pay and objective clinical performance. Corporate research in for-profit sectors offers a practical lesson: pay-performance relationships can be modest and inconsistent, but tools like relative performance evaluation, multi-year vesting, and clear peer benchmarks can improve alignment and reduce gaming. Nonprofits can adopt these design features without compromising their mission.

The Jenkins et al. (2024) study delivers a subtle but important message that leaders should pay attention to. Goodhart's law warns that when a measure becomes a target, it may stop being a good measure. This does not mean you should not link pay to outcomes; instead, it suggests selecting a few strong, risk-adjusted metrics, updating them at a steady pace, and supplementing them with qualitative review. It also recommends designing incentives that reward improvement based on a baseline, rather than only rewarding absolute levels that favor already advantaged institutions. Executives respond to the incentives they face. If the bonus plan makes it personally rewarding to reduce harm events, close equity gaps, and manage total costs, leaders will focus on these areas. If the bonus plan pays a premium for size, leaders will pursue it.

Taken together, the evidence clearly indicates a trend. Over the past decade, the nonprofit hospital sector has prioritized paying leaders more for scale and profitability rather than for measurable improvements in clinical quality, and this bias became even stronger by 2019. The market environment does not justify that choice, as consolidation usually increases prices and does not consistently improve patient outcomes. In this context, how organizations design compensation becomes a crucial strategic tool. Boards aiming for safer care and better access need to revise their payment strategies. This involves focusing on fewer metrics, emphasizing outcomes that truly matter, balancing both cost management and clinical results, openly sharing the calculation methods, ensuring committee expertise to scrutinize both data and narratives, and shifting incentives from "how big" to "how well" will steer organizational efforts in the right direction.

Jenkins, D., Short, M. N., & Ho, V. (2024). The determinants of nonprofit hospital CEO compensation. PLOS ONE, 19(7), e0306571. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0306571


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